Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 76.4%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado21/06/25, 05:46 UTC1/01/27, 05:44 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Any one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Manifold MarketsWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if I'm able to play Valve's Half Life 3 before I'm able to read GRRM's The Winds of Winter.
- Half life 3 counts even if it's given a different name, such as "Half life infinite" etc. Same for Winds of Winter, if GRRM changes the name, it still counts.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter? é resolvido?
- Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if I'm able to play Valve's Half Life 3 before I'm able to read GRRM's The Winds of Winter.