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Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

0.5% (24h)EntretenimentoYearly6m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim

Sim 11%+0.0%

Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

91,2 €

Liquidez

2,4 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

9.0% / 13.0%

Spread

44.4%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

16/01/26, 0:3331/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes11%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.