Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (92.8%)
Resolvido: 10 de ago. de 2026, 06:04
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 92.8%
Previsores
57
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 dias
Desatualizado5/08/26, 6:5210/08/26, 3:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes7.2%
No92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Regras
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations).
- General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement).
- General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count.
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
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KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 50,3 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 10 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? é resolvido?
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.