Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.4%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado7/01/26, 16:56 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2027 and 2028 from a peak reached during or before the year 2026, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2026.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is reported to be above 2026 levels in any of the two years following.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
Mercados abertos
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 414,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 265,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 mais resultados
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 126,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 126,9 mil
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 113,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will global peak oil production occur before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will global peak oil production occur before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will global peak oil production occur before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will global peak oil production occur before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2027 and 2028 from a peak reached during or before the year 2026, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2026.