Will former Colombian president Gustavo Petro be formally charged with a criminal offense before January 1, 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffCrime e justiça2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 50.8%
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6
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado19/08/26, 14:03 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Gustavo Petro left office amid ongoing investigations, allegations, and legal proceedings concerning events and decisions during his administration.
- The release of Abelardo de la Espriella's “White Paper,” which reportedly documents alleged irregularities during the Petro administration and refers matters to Colombian investigative and oversight authorities, could lead to further investigations or legal action.
- This market asks whether those investigations, or any other criminal investigation involving Petro, will progress to the point where he is formally charged with a crime before the deadline.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent Colombian or foreign judicial/prosecutorial authority formally brings criminal charges against Gustavo Petro before January 1, 2027.
- NO: If no formal criminal charge is brought against him by that date.
