Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 76.6%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado8/08/23, 16:57 UTC2/01/41, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Manifold MarketsEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill we have conclusive evidence by 2030 that life on Earth has an extraterrestrial origin?
Manifold MarketsWill life be discovered on Venus by 2052?
Manifold MarketsIf abiogenetically distinct alien life is discovered in the solar system before 2070, where will it be first discovered?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegras
With Perserverence currently on mars looking for microbial life and creating samples for the Mars Sample Return mission that is currently expected to arrive on earth in 2033, will we detect evidence of life on Mars before 2040?
- Will resolve YES if a 5 sigma discovery of martian life is announced before December 31st 2040.
- https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/
- https://mars.nasa.gov/msr/#Facts
- [link preview]
