Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.1%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado12/04/26, 20:55 UTC7/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 7 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria