Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 78.6%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado20/11/24, 06:51 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Candidacy for a Political Office: This includes any elected position within the political structure of the United States of America.
- It must be a recognized office that is part of a governmental structure, including local, state/provincial, or federal levels.
- If he does run for office the named outcome the bucket containing the correct year will resolve YES and all other answers will resolve NO.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA).?
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA). é resolvido?
- Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA). deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA). é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Candidacy for a Political Office: This includes any elected position within the political structure of the United States of America.