Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 82.1%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado27/06/26, 10:57 UTC31/12/99, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point, Elon Musk's net worth is officially recorded at $1.5 trillion USD or higher by either of the following trackers:
- Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index
- If neither tracker reports Musk's net worth reaching or exceeding $1.5 trillion by Elon Musk's death, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one of the tracking indexes is permanently discontinued or becomes inaccessible, the remaining index will serve as the sole source of truth.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? é resolvido?
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria