Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 50%
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1
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binary
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Atualizado há 18 minutos
2/09/26, 11:00 UTC5/11/30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
