Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.6%
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Atualizado há 24 minutos
2/04/23, 16:51 UTC1/12/28, 12:00 UTC
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Resolves to YES if either the 2024 presidential election or the 2028 presidential election in the United States (or both) results in a tie in the Electoral College between two candidates (which would currently be 269–269, though the number of votes needed would change if states joined or left the union).
- A tie with multiple candidates winning electoral votes does not count (e.g. 200–200–138).
- This excludes faithless electors.
- If there is a dispute as to the result of an election I will follow reliable sources.
- If the Electoral College is abolished before the 2028 election this will resolve to N/A.
