Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.4%
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binary
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado8/02/25, 00:55 UTC20/01/29, 17:00 UTC
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Donald Trump was previously impeached twice during his first term (2017-2021) - first for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, and second for incitement of insurrection.
- Both times he was acquitted by the Senate.
- Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House of Representatives, while conviction and removal from office requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The House of Representatives passes at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump during his second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029)
