Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202610d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.5%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado30/03/26, 16:19 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if a Democratic candidate wins the November 3, 2026 special election to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate term.
- The market resolves NO if a Republican candidate wins.
- The primary election will be held August 18, 2026, with the general election on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections.
- The special election was triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation to become United States Secretary of State in President Donald Trump's second administration.