Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 74.3%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado19/09/26, 20:39 UTC11/11/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
- This market resolves to NO if any other candidate (including the Republican nominee, third-party candidates, or write-ins) wins.
- Resolution will be based on the official certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed or legally contested, the market may resolve based on a consensus of major national news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, NBC News, CNN) once a projected winner is widely acknowledged.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, the market will resolve based on the next completed election held to determine the successor to the current term.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 133,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 947,3 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 194,6 mi
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- € 28,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 523,8 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 30,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 493,5 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74.3% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? é resolvido?
- Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria