Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado29/07/26, 17:04 UTC1/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PredictIt2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve YES if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Democratic Party wins at least 225 seats.
- Definition of "Democratic Seat": Any seat won by a candidate who ran on the Democratic ballot line.
- Independents who caucus with Democrats do not count toward this total unless they were elected as Democrats.
- Resolution Source: This market will resolve based on the "Partisan Breakdown" table provided by Ballotpedia (link below).
- Timing: Resolution will occur once Ballotpedia has called all 435 races.
- If any race is subject to a recount or legal challenge, resolution will be delayed until a winner is certified or conceded.
