Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.7%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
6/09/26, 09:02 UTC1/10/26, 04:00 UTC
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Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
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This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.
- If no such construction occurs before October 1 ET, this market will resolve "no".
- For the purposes of this market, construction is defined as any changes to the site of the planned arch that are done for the purpose of actually constructing the arch (merely setting up construction equipment or similar preparations will not count).
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
- Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September? é resolvido?
- Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.