Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.4%
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8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado10/04/26, 18:42 UTC21/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
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This market will resolve YES if:
- A triumphal arch is built off one end of the Arlington Bridge, across from the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C
- The arch is similar to the plans discussed in this article (i.e. around 250 feet in height, similar in design -- plans linked here).
- I reserve the right to exercise my discretion in determining whether the final arch is sufficiently similar to this plan.
- Construction is completed by noon on January 20th, 2029, when Trump leaves office.
- It will resolve NO otherwise, including if an arch is built but its design/size are completely different, it is in a substantially different location, or construction has commenced but is not completed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? é resolvido?
- Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve YES if: