Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 95.5%
Previsores
60
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado19/02/23, 12:53 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
PolymarketAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhen will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
KalshiWhat will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?
Manifold MarketsWill The Elder Scrolls 6 release before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegras
Tod Howard recently confirmed that TES VI is still in pre-production, despite originally teasing the game at E3 2018: https://www.ign.com/articles/todd-howard-bethesda-fallout-5-elder-scrolls-6-starfield?utm_source=twitter
- Will resolve to YES if the game is available for members of the public to purchase, download and play on any major console/platform, before January 1st 2027.
- Will resolve to NO if the game is only available as part of a "public beta" or similar.
- If the game does not explicitly contain "The Elder Scrolls VI" in its title, I will resolve at my discretion whether it is still The Elder Scrolls VI de facto.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Tod Howard recently confirmed that TES VI is still in pre-production, despite originally teasing the game at E3 2018: https://www.ign.com/articles/todd-howard-bethesda-fallout-5-elder-scrolls-6-starfield?utm_source=twitter