Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 48 minutos
Atrasado10/06/26, 05:06 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Bernie Sanders officially declares his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before Election Day, November 7, 2028.
- An official run requires at least one of the following:
- Filing a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- A formal, public announcement of his candidacy (e.g., via an official campaign launch video, press conference, or official press release).
- Forming an exploratory committee, being draft-campaigned by external organizations, or speculative media reporting will not suffice.
Mercados abertos
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria