Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 61.2%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
15/09/26, 20:44 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Baseball Champion
KalshiMLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Regras
As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.
- Austin LW has done a Petrov Day since 2015.
- Note: the group's leader will not be present at this one.
- Update accordingly.
Mercados abertos
Baseball
POLYMARKETWashington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals+54.5pt100%
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals — Yes+49.5pt100%
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+48.0pt100%
+32 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D-0.8pt27.4%
- Milwaukee-0.7pt16%
- New York Y-0.4pt9.4%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 66,6 mi
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Yes+56.5pt100%
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)100%
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Full game — Over 7.5 total runs100%
+36 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
- MIL-1.0pt58.8%
- BAL41.2%
- Volume total
- € 348,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 348,5 mil
POLYMARKETPhiladelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)+64.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+36.0pt100%
POLYMARKETKansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+24.4pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 3.5 total runs+40.0pt100%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
- Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
- MLB: New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Sep 19, 2026)
- Minnesota vs Los Angeles A: Total Runs
- Detroit vs Chicago WS: Total Runs
- A's vs Cleveland: Total Runs
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Sep 19, 2026)
- Seattle vs Colorado
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 61% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? é resolvido?
- Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.