Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.5%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 21:06 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Os critérios de resolução ainda não estão disponíveis para este mercado. Esta seção será preenchida nas próximas atualizações quando as regras da fonte forem armazenadas.
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+11.5pt67.7%
- <40-4.0pt17.6%
- 65-89-6.0pt13.7%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 219 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 180,5 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt27.7%
- 200-219+4.0pt23.8%
- 160-179-2.0pt13.9%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+22.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
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- Volume total
- € 228,6 mil
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POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199-0.5pt19.6%
- 200-21917.8%
- 160-17916.8%
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- Volume total
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.