Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
One-OffSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 81.7%
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6
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 19:50 UTC23/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Same as in previous years.
- Resolve NO if held elsewhere, or not held at all.
- "Silas's place" means where Silas is living at the time, and moves as he does.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place? é resolvido?
- Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place? deverá ser resolvido em 23 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Same as in previous years.