Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
TecnologiaOne-OffEspaço4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 80.2%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado25/08/26, 09:41 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during the first crewed lunar surface landing of the Artemis program, at least one of the astronauts who descends to and physically sets foot on the Moon's surface is a woman.
- This market resolves to NO if the first crewed lunar landing occurs and the landing crew—specifically those who physically set foot on the surface—is entirely male.
- Rules and Edge Cases:
- Only Surface Walkers Count: Resolution is based strictly on the astronauts who descend to and walk on the lunar surface.
- Crew members who remain in lunar orbit (e.g., aboard the Orion spacecraft or Gateway) do not count.
