Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.4%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado22/07/26, 12:36 UTC1/06/29, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Description:
- Resolves YES if NASA's Artemis V mission (the planned crewed lunar landing following Artemis IV) successfully lifts off before January 1, 2029.
- Resolves NO if the launch has not occurred by that date, including if the mission is cancelled, indefinitely delayed, or restructured such that "Artemis V" no longer refers to a crewed lunar landing mission.
- Background: As of July 2026, NASA anticipates launching Artemis V, using the standardized configuration of the SLS rocket, by late 2028, with future missions about once per year thereafter.
- However, no crew or lander has yet been assigned to the mission, and the Artemis schedule has been restructured before.
- Given the program's history of schedule slips, a significant delay versus the "late 2028" target could occur.
Mercados abertos
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- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
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- Volume total
- € 944,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 721,8 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
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- € 536 mil
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
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- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
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- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? é resolvido?
- Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de junho de 2029.
- Como Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Description: