Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 99%
Não 99%Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado15/01/24, 16:22 UTC2/01/35, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsArtemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsHow many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
To resolve YES the mission designated Artemis 3 must involve a human footstep on the moon.
- To resolve NO Artemis 3 must be canceled or rescoped to not include a moon landing.
- Landing failure resolves NO; any failure after an astronaut walks on the moon resolves YES.
- Launch vehicle, landing vehicle, and other details are irrelevant.
