Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.3%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado12/02/25, 02:13 UTC31/12/28, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be fresh fruit/vegetables advertised+verified as being sold "microplastics-free" in any supermarket by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?
Manifold MarketsWill a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill I live to be 200 years old?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if anyone current living is verified as 120 years old by 2030.
- Only Jeanne Calment (1875-1997) has been verified as reaching 120. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_verified_oldest_people https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_people