Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 86.6%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/01/23, 12:16 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- The overturning of Roe v Wade has prompted many to fear that access to contraception may come under threat: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- For the purposes of this market, contraception will include condoms, oral contraceptives, IUD or other implants, but NOT the morning-after pill.
- If any one of these contraceptive methods is banned, with the ban coming into effect before 2030, I will resolve YES.
- If the sale or provision of contraceptives is banned, I will resolve YES even if using contraceptives is not criminalized.
- If the ban applies only to a subgroup (like unmarried couples) I will resolve YES (except for bans concerning minors, who already have spotty access to contraception).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any US state ban contraception by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf