Will any US Senate Race go to a runoff (2026 election cycle)?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoPolítica dos EUA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.6%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado11/10/26, 09:28 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if official state election authorities certify that any 2026 U.S. Senate general election requires a post-general election runoff because no candidate achieved the vote threshold required by state law (such as Georgia's 50%+1 majority requirement).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined based on official election results published by state election authorities (e.g., the Georgia Secretary of State) or reported by major national news organizations (such as the Associated Press).
- Notes and edge cases:
- Primary vs. General Runoffs: By default, this market covers general election runoffs resulting from the November 3, 2026 general election.
