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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

RegulamentaçãoIATecnologiaPolíticaGeopolítica3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%
Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores

12

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 horas

Desatualizado
9/12/24, 19:391/01/30, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"79%

Regras

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.

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Regras

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.