Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 89.4%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado5/03/25, 00:10 UTC1/02/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Imran Khan be released from prison before the next American presidential administration?
Manifold MarketsHow many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
Manifold MarketsNicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term
Manifold MarketsWill Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegras
There are currently 63 National Parks in the United States: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_national_parks_of_the_United_States
- Will any of this set be sold off, downranked as National Forests, National Monuments, etc., or otherwise lose their designation?
- This does not count losing land area or other changes to the Parks as long as they maintain their National Park status.
- Any such action will count for resolution until the term is over, i.e. until inauguration in January 2029.
- This action must hold until that date.
- If such an action has been taken but is held up in courts and may be reversed, I will poll Manifold on how likely the action is to be upheld and resolve to that percentage.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume total
- € 957,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 760,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any current National Park lose its National Park designation during the current presidential administration??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any current National Park lose its National Park designation during the current presidential administration? é resolvido?
- Will any current National Park lose its National Park designation during the current presidential administration? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como Will any current National Park lose its National Park designation during the current presidential administration? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: There are currently 63 National Parks in the United States: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_national_parks_of_the_United_States