Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição16a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.8%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado25/06/24, 02:31 UTC21/01/43, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met or the office of President of the United States is abolished.
- For purposes of this market, "openly gay man" and "woman" describe someone who identifies as a such at the time of the respective event.
- If an individual became President of the United States and then only later identified as an "openly gay man" or "woman" after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
