Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.2%
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105
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado9/02/23, 15:48 UTC31/12/29, 22:01 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiRegras
Market resolves to YES if:
- At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030.
- Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated.
- The movie can be nominated in any category.
- Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am