Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffChinaLatin AmericaCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 77%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
4/05/26, 17:45 UTC31/05/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsMcDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026
KalshiMcDonald's Corporation global comparable sales growth in Q3 2026
KalshiMonster Beverage Corporation total case sales in fiscal 2026
KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Alcoa's 2024 Aluminum segment shipments came in at 2.5–2.6 Mt (per the Q4 2024 earnings release), with modest expansion underway at the Pinjarra refinery / smelter complex (Western Australia) and Alumar (Brazil).
- The 2.6 Mt median for 2027 reflects roughly flat operations with small Pinjarra/Alumar contribution; this strike sits at the 50/50 middle of plausible 2027 outcomes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Alcoa Corporation Q4 2027 / full-year financial release https://news.alcoa.com/press-releases
