Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffChina1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 57.4%
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 17:53 UTC31/05/28, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Century Aluminum operates Sebree and Mt. Holly (Kentucky/South Carolina), Grundartangi (Iceland), and has the Hawesville smelter idled. 2024 production was 0.69 Mt and shipments 0.678 Mt. The 0.7 Mt strike for 2027 reflects steady-state operations at running smelters; the Century-EGA Inola greenfield (Oklahoma, $4B build, ~600 kt/yr nameplate) targets first metal late 2028 and is not material to 2027.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Century Aluminum 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR) https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000949157
- Century Aluminum quarterly earnings releases https://centuryaluminum.com/
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2028.
- Como Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.