Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
PolíticaOne-OffEspaçoPolítica dos EUAEleição6a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 68.2%
Previsores
99
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado18/03/24, 15:37 UTC21/01/33, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on the moon or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the moon or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to the moon or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
