Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
One-OffPolíticaEspaçoPolítica dos EUAEleição
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77.9%
Previsores
82
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado16/03/24, 18:06 UTC21/01/49, 06:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
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Manifold MarketsWill the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiRegras
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on Mars or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving Mars or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to Mars or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related market: @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-the-moon-befor
