Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 67.9%
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3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado9/05/26, 10:41 UTC31/12/51, 23:59 UTC
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Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Rapid failure (like the Soviet Venus landers) would count against the "permanent" requirement in the rover definition
- Preponderance of media coverage can be used to distinguish a "crash landing" from a successful "landing" if ambiguous
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 68% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? é resolvido?
- Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2051.
- Como Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.