Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69.8%
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43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado5/08/23, 23:45 UTC2/01/49, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, resolve to NO.