Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?
TecnologiaOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 87.8%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado3/02/25, 21:08 UTC1/01/27, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Specifically, will Tesla upgrade any customer's car (not tesla employee/testing car) initially produced with a hardware 3 FSD computer to be able to run either unsupervised FSD, or the same-or-better model as what hardware 4 cars are running at that time?
- I would guess that Tesla will not do this until unsupervised is already solved, but if Tesla upgrades the hardware to have full parity with hw4 but hasn't solved unsupervised on hw4 yet this will resolve yes.
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 961,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 741,9 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 701,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 685,8 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 907,2 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Specifically, will Tesla upgrade any customer's car (not tesla employee/testing car) initially produced with a hardware 3 FSD computer to be able to run either unsupervised FSD, or the same-or-better model as what hardware 4 cars are running at that time?