Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.4%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado27/08/24, 03:27 UTC1/01/27, 15:59 UTC
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Sabina Shoal is currently home to one Philippines Coast Guard vessel and many Chinese vessels (Coast Guard and Maritime Militia).
- The shoal is claimed by both states.
- Recently there have been several clashes between China and the Philippines over the feature.
- It is speculated that the PRC has decided to block the Philippines from reinforcing the solitary vessel.
- The US is a treaty ally of the Philippines.
- 'killed' requires an physical act, specifically from one of the other countries mentioned in the question.
