Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)
TecnologiaOne-OffEspaço
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.2%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado9/12/23, 04:32 UTC1/01/00, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
A qualifying 'trip' in this market is any transit from point(A) to point(B) where the shortest distance between these points is greater than 200km and the transit time is less than 1234.8km/h from takeoff to landing after 1/1/2023.
- EG, a trip where takeoff at JFK was at 00:00 GMT and a landing at LHA no later than 02:55.
- Will resolve YES if -
- (a) SpaceX becomes defunct / goes bankrupt prior to Boom Supersonic going bankrupt or otherwise becoming defunct as an enterprise.
- (b) Boom Supersonic platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips before SpaceX platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips.
- (b)(2) A single trip is defined as a commercial (at least 1 paying customer) transits from a point of origin to a destination point not less than 200km apart.
