Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 02:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualOther 26%Líder entre 61 opções
Previsores
489
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado18/08/23, 16:14 UTC2/02/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegras
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 25%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Também disponível em Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028