Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 21:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualRick Zbur (Incumbent) 88.9%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado25/08/25, 15:04 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
- Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
- Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
- Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
- (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)