Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Samuel Alito 58.8%Líder entre 10 opções
Samuel Alito 58.8%Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-1.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado6/11/22, 22:23 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
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FutuurRegras
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on the named outcome
