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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Who will take Iran's place at the football world championship?
Manifold Markets

Who will take Iran's place at the football world championship?

GeopolíticaIAEsportes1m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Iran will participate despite the conflict with the USA. 98%
Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores

21

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 dias

Desatualizado
5/04/26, 15:4719/07/26, 15:43

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Manifold Markets
Italy will participate as the world number 12.
0.5%
Manifold Markets
This answer option will not be resolved.
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Other
0.5%

Resultado escolhido

Iran will participate despite the conflict with the USA.98%

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the national football team that officially takes the place of Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup should Iran withdraw or be excluded from the tournament.
  • "Iran will participate": Resolves to YES if Iran remains in the tournament and competes in their scheduled matches.
  • "The next best Asian team": Resolves to YES if FIFA replaces Iran with an Asian Football Confederation (AFC) nation based on qualifying criteria (e.g., the highest-ranked non-qualified team from the AFC or the direct runner-up from the relevant qualifying pathway).
  • "Italy will participate as the world number 12": Resolves to YES if FIFA elects to replace Iran with Italy.
  • "Other": Resolves to YES if FIFA selects any other team not explicitly listed above, or if FIFA decides to proceed with the tournament without replacing Iran (e.g., playing with a reduced group).

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Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the national football team that officially takes the place of Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup should Iran withdraw or be excluded from the tournament.
  • "Iran will participate": Resolves to YES if Iran remains in the tournament and competes in their scheduled matches.
  • "The next best Asian team": Resolves to YES if FIFA replaces Iran with an Asian Football Confederation (AFC) nation based on qualifying criteria (e.g., the highest-ranked non-qualified team from the AFC or the direct runner-up from the relevant qualifying pathway).
  • "Italy will participate as the world number 12": Resolves to YES if FIFA elects to replace Iran with Italy.
  • "Other": Resolves to YES if FIFA selects any other team not explicitly listed above, or if FIFA decides to proceed with the tournament without replacing Iran (e.g., playing with a reduced group).