Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGavin Newsom 86.2%Líder entre 47 opções
Previsores
157
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado10/10/23, 15:00 UTC17/06/28, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
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Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PredictItWill a woman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PredictItWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
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- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Gavin Newsom em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? é resolvido?
- Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 17 de junho de 2028.
- Como Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.