Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
SpaceX 56.4%Líder entre 3 opções
SpaceX 56.4%Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+23.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado26/10/26, 08:45 UTC7/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves to the launch provider responsible for the first orbital launch attempt worldwide with a liftoff time in calendar year 2027 (UTC).
- Orbital launch attempt: any launch intended to reach Earth orbit or beyond, including failures.
- Suborbital flights and tests not intended to reach orbit are excluded.
- Launch provider: the company or agency operating the launch vehicle, classified by the country where it is headquartered.
- Launch site, customer and payload don’t matter.
- For example, a Rocket Lab Electron launch from New Zealand counts as “Other American provider”.
