Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAnthony Albanese 59.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+12.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado20/07/26, 06:56 UTC20/05/28, 02:00 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Market Overview
- This market predicts who will hold the office of Prime Minister of Australia immediately following the next federal election.
- The constitutional deadline for the election is 20 May 2028.
- This market tracks both the outcome of the general election and potential mid-term leadership spills within the major political parties.
- Initial Candidates
- the named outcome: The incumbent Prime Minister leading the Australian Labor Party government following his re-election in 2025.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Anthony Albanese em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? é resolvido?
- Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de maio de 2028.
- Como Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market Overview