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  3. Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

One-OffPolíticaEleição2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Scott Wiener
Scott Wiener 70.1%
Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores

153

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

4/06/24, 5:211/01/29, 7:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Bruce Lou
Bruce Lou
0.1%
Christine Pelosi
Christine Pelosi
0.3%
Jane Kim
Jane Kim
0.1%
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
0.1%

Resultado escolhido

Scott Wiener70%

Regras

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.

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Regras

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.