Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
US PoliticsManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualKetanji Brown Jackson 22.4%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/04/24, 14:44 UTC17/04/21, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.
- I will add options as new justices are sworn in.
- I will resolve a justice's market with a percentage when they leave office, either by stepping down, being removed or by death.
- The n-th person to leave will be resolved with (n-1)%.
- For instance, the first justice to leave will be resolved with NO, and the second one with 1%.
- All justices that step down after the 100th will be resolved with YES.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- A Manifold Markets cota Ketanji Brown Jackson em 22% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? é resolvido?
- Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? deverá ser resolvido em 17 de abril de 2121.
- Como Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.